La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa42eba12de99766777cd8ef0d36050e7b06018a467c83e22d641a2589bfdebb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 55c | 558$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 56c | 454.55$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 45c | 412.21$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.72 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 58c | 327.79$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.67 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.78 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 42c | 241.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 45c | 170.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…68dfbacked Over | 58c | 163.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 58c | 121$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 59c | 56.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…478bbacked Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Real Betis Balompié O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Valencia CF O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.