CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Project 91 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa45a711500117f07d3904ee9ff142ed7728107e3a4afcfcf3f1b58e6988566ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Project 91of ASTRAL, Project 91
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed ASTRAL | 77c | 9,617$7,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,375.27 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Project 91 | 25c | 5,477$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,098.79 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed ASTRAL | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed ASTRAL | 2c | 2,260$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed ASTRAL | 79c | 2,000$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.76 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Project 91 | 24c | 1,124$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.07 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Project 91 | 18c | 1,016$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.49 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Project 91 | 20c | 1,007$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.76 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Project 91 | 28c | 504.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.63 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Project 91 | 18c | 483.55$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.51 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Project 91 | 46c | 366.6$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.97 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Project 91 | 26c | 279.79$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.63 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Project 91 | 41c | 257.12$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.89 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Project 91 | 23c | 250$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Project 91 | 20c | 249.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.62 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Project 91 | 20c | 244.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.15 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Project 91 | 21c | 236.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.28 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed ASTRAL | 79c | 200.67$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.82 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Project 91 | 23c | 200.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.9 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Project 91 | 51c | 172.93$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ASTRAL | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed ASTRAL | 15c | 117$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed Project 91 | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa03c…f557backed ASTRAL | 74c | 68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed ASTRAL | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked Project 91 | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked ASTRAL | 65c | 54.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ASTRAL | 76c | 51.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Project 91 | 53c | 49.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked ASTRAL | 64c | 43.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ASTRAL | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Project 91 | 46c | 34.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked ASTRAL | 58c | 33.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed ASTRAL | 63c | 26.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked ASTRAL | 59c | 25.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Project 91 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Project 91 (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group BASTRAL won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Project 91 - Map 1 WinnerASTRAL won
- Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs Project 91 (+1.5)Project 91 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.