CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Project 91 (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7c56ebca2d11cd8043fe2d1ac620a45af1e38a19f5ca22bc9a061e9aeef9712
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof ASTRAL, Project 91
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Project 91 | 6c | 1,109$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL | 70c | 671.41$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.11 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Project 91 | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Project 91 | 17c | 325.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Project 91 | 31c | 321.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Project 91 | 31c | 298.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Project 91 | 21c | 236.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked ASTRAL | 78c | 187.85$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ASTRAL | 73c | 150.46$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Project 91 | 9c | 150.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Project 91 | 26c | 136.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Project 91 | 15c | 124.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Project 91 | 21c | 121.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Project 91 | 19c | 112.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Project 91 | 33c | 93.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Project 91 | 26c | 85.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked ASTRAL | 71c | 42.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed ASTRAL | 72c | 40.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked ASTRAL | 78c | 38.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ASTRAL | 78c | 31.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed ASTRAL | 80c | 25.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Project 91 (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Project 91 - Map 1 WinnerASTRAL won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Project 91 - Map 2 WinnerProject 91 won
- Map Handicap: ASTR (-1.5) vs Project 91 (+1.5)Project 91 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.