Tennis · resolved market
ITF Stuttgart-Vaihingen: Lisa Pigato vs Danka Kovinic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa45f205293da6e43e0e6140d92e85d92c092ac231719180f5b4278067c43fa3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lisa Pigatoof Lisa Pigato, Danka Kovinic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Danka Kovinic | 5c | 2,017$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Danka Kovinic | 25c | 1,683$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lisa Pigato | 77c | 589.95$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Lisa Pigato | 74c | 401.62$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 860 | 50.1%431 W · 429 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Lisa Pigato | 75c | 400$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Danka Kovinic | 24c | 186$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Lisa Pigato | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Danka Kovinic | 23c | 110.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Lisa Pigato | 76c | 99.75$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 904 | 59.5%538 W · 366 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Lisa Pigato | 75c | 79.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 591 | 57.7%341 W · 250 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Lisa Pigato | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Lisa Pigato | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Lisa Pigato | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lisa Pigato | 71c | 47.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Lisa Pigato | 76c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Lisa Pigato | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Lisa Pigato | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lisa Pigato | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Lisa Pigato | 76c | 20.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…0cbbbacked Lisa Pigato | 76c | 19.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Lisa Pigato | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.