Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa488d2bc5f6b9e4d4f50a04117b7819b0636a47fdea92f8ace365a03b783c692
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Over | 18c | 1,645$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 21c | 1,240$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.29 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 20c | 1,111$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.19 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Under | 79c | 1,084$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.7 | 217 | 51.2%111 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Over | 19c | 954.58$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.67 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Over | 21c | 800.29$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.06 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657a…d1f4backed Over | 17c | 605.89$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Over | 20c | 537.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Under | 79c | 465.5$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 18c | 456.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 22c | 407.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 18c | 388.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 18c | 316.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 18c | 270.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Under | 79c | 250.01$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Under | 78c | 249$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Over | 21c | 209.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Over | 23c | 175$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed Over | 18c | 155.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Over | 22c | 122.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over | 19c | 110.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 21c | 89.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Over | 18c | 76.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 80c | 73.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…c6dabacked Under | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 76c | 35.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Under | 75c | 34.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Under | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)LOS won
- LoL: LOS vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonLOS won
- LoL: LOS vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 WinnerLOS won
- LoL: LOS vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 WinnerLOS won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.