South American Leagues · resolved market
Clube do Remo vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa48d60b0d756f4715a644a9aa7536e218cfe7f1183a4b9e92f7ed58c48559c36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,212 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 3,257$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.09 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 61c | 2,326$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.7 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…cb76backed Over | 60c | 932.3$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 68c | 604.97$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 25c | 290.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 30c | 176.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 17c | 122.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 114.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 72c | 89.28$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Over | 77c | 47.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 64c | 39.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Under | 35c | 38.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 72c | 25.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 75c | 14.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Over | 78c | 14.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clube do Remo vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5this page
- Clube do Remo vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Clube do Remo vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Clube do Remo vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Clube do Remo vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)Clube do Remo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.