Euroleague · resolved market
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Olimpia Milano
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa499764d7e4541872a2873eb7519d34897c7a06f2d0ecdfef7a0a4debd779871
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hapoel Tel Avivof Hapoel Tel Aviv, Olimpia Milano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 71c | 1,052$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.16 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…f46cbacked Olimpia Milano | 30c | 901.09$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 73c | 734.49$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.66 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…ef82backed Olimpia Milano | 16c | 603.12$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Olimpia Milano | 25c | 391.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Olimpia Milano | 14c | 360.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Olimpia Milano | 27c | 359.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 72c | 270.41$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Olimpia Milano | 33c | 264.85$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Olimpia Milano | 20c | 251.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Olimpia Milano | 29c | 249.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Olimpia Milano | 29c | 176.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Olimpia Milano | 36c | 158$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 72c | 143.38$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 72c | 136.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Olimpia Milano | 14c | 114.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 70c | 109.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e34…c876backed Olimpia Milano | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Olimpia Milano | 26c | 99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Olimpia Milano | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Olimpia Milano | 28c | 70.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Olimpia Milano | 37c | 68.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Olimpia Milano | 25c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Olimpia Milano | 23c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Olimpia Milano | 24c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Olimpia Milano | 30c | 53.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 70c | 50.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Olimpia Milano | 30c | 47.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e6…0ec6backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 72c | 38.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Olimpia Milano | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…2f76backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…6b96backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 72c | 19.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 71c | 15.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 77c | 15.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.