Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Troy Trojans vs. South Alabama Jaguars: O/U 143.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4ab9b9bd5547880516b9ace3628071a57a81479e2ab20cb406600fb25433591
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 53c | 24,902$13,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,818.46 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 19,411$9,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,260.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 47c | 4,173$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.45 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 3,152$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.57 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 52c | 2,886$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.41 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 53c | 935.17$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.53 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 46c | 793.04$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.8 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 596.08$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.78 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 552.59$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.35 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 413.36$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.41 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 348$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 47c | 257.73$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.13 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 46c | 215.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 47c | 199.13$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 47c | 128.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Over | 47c | 116.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 48c | 112.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 46c | 107.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 46c | 99.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 54c | 80.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 59.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Over | 47c | 39.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 54c | 25.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…a27cbacked Over | 47c | 23.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Troy Trojans vs. South Alabama Jaguars: O/U 143.5this page
- Spread: Troy Trojans (-1.5)South Alabama Jaguars won
- Troy Trojans vs. South Alabama JaguarsSouth Alabama Jaguars won
- Troy Trojans vs. South Alabama Jaguars: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.