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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Troy Trojans vs. South Alabama Jaguars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Alabama Jaguarsof Troy Trojans, South Alabama Jaguars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,941
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,941 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked South Alabama Jaguars45c16,853$7,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,269.1530249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Troy Trojans55c9,829$5,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,372.7774051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Troy Trojans55c6,544$3,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.3884147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Troy Trojans46c5,120$2,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,331.635,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Troy Trojans55c4,459$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,452.451,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Troy Trojans8c2,588$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.968817%15 W · 73 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed South Alabama Jaguars48c2,573$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.941,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed South Alabama Jaguars50c2,537$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.673,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked South Alabama Jaguars46c2,222$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.882,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed South Alabama Jaguars45c2,100$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.092,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed South Alabama Jaguars47c1,322$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.622347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Troy Trojans58c1,297$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.2326254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Troy Trojans60c1,228$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.452,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked South Alabama Jaguars46c1,204$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6483444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Troy Trojans1c1,048$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1624121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked South Alabama Jaguars44c1,005$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.0937441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed South Alabama Jaguars59c972.24$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.33,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Troy Trojans41c569.67$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.2593247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked South Alabama Jaguars54c558.35$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.041,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Troy Trojans54c547.8$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.4212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked South Alabama Jaguars42c517$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.1881453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Troy Trojans32c472.69$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.11,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e3…1080backed Troy Trojans57c472$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.042853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Troy Trojans54c460$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.069545.3%43 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Troy Trojans55c439.65$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.852,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked South Alabama Jaguars45c414.55$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.724,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Troy Trojans58c306.45$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.361,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked South Alabama Jaguars68c303.95$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.811,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked South Alabama Jaguars43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1712,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Troy Trojans53c286$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5889645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed South Alabama Jaguars47c278$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.341,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Troy Trojans52c268.17$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4548855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed South Alabama Jaguars46c233.6$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7481528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Troy Trojans53c216.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11512749.6%63 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked South Alabama Jaguars48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked South Alabama Jaguars46c198$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.41,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Troy Trojans39c168.54$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.384,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Troy Trojans15c164.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.831,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Troy Trojans56c160.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1650745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed South Alabama Jaguars71c145$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.051,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed South Alabama Jaguars71c126.76$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.763461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Troy Trojans42c124.8$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1370349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed South Alabama Jaguars61c123.39$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2818557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed South Alabama Jaguars46c121.74$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7462140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2b…cb3abacked South Alabama Jaguars39c120.69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.626549.2%32 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed South Alabama Jaguars45c120.63$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.11,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed South Alabama Jaguars48c116.66$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.668555.3%47 W · 38 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Troy Trojans55c111.93$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.561,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Troy Trojans26c104.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.611,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed South Alabama Jaguars47c101.01$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed South Alabama Jaguars46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.585248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Troy Trojans15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed South Alabama Jaguars50c95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.53,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Troy Trojans53c94.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.994,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Troy Trojans44c92.88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.941,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed South Alabama Jaguars45c84.73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.612141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Troy Trojans57c76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed South Alabama Jaguars45c65.48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0178052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Troy Trojans52c62.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4621937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf08…dea4backed South Alabama Jaguars71c62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.982245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Troy Trojans56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.652353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed South Alabama Jaguars57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.791,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Troy Trojans54c56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.241,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…31f9backed Troy Trojans44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked South Alabama Jaguars62c44.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9371655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Troy Trojans28c38.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.861,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Troy Trojans54c33.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed South Alabama Jaguars70c30.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1630945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8fd…d641backed South Alabama Jaguars62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.47663.2%48 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Troy Trojans56c21.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.817627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Troy Trojans55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Troy Trojans50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked South Alabama Jaguars50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109747.4%46 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Troy Trojans55c19.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9860954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed South Alabama Jaguars61c19.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.553464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Troy Trojans56c17.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf55c…a6abbacked South Alabama Jaguars72c16.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6514171.6%101 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.