South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa519a3e1e152255663e4b073a7859320d11cf01a3bc523eba1fe48246997c1ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 6,814$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,981.15 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 4,200$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,486 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked No | 4c | 3,655$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.27 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 50c | 3,281$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.46 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 3,086$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.56 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 17c | 3,052$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.36 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 4c | 2,712$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 2,711$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.56 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.81 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed Yes | 75c | 1,905$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.46 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 2c | 1,737$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked No | 3c | 1,706$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 55c | 1,171$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.94 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 54c | 1,119$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Yes | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 15c | 937.1$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.24 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed Yes | 13c | 768.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.69 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 68c | 685.88$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.58 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…b0f2backed No | 65c | 593.29$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 23c | 496.79$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.45 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 29c | 463.92$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Yes | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.57 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 26c | 428.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.13 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 54c | 414.38$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.69 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 39c | 404.76$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.66 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked No | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 42c | 366.29$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.89 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 39c | 298.01$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.48 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 38c | 253.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 16c | 249.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.82 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 15c | 243.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.77 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 77c | 213.13$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 16c | 189.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bf…a509backed Yes | 41c | 157.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Yes | 14c | 139.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 38c | 130.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.57 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 71c | 121.31$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.16 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 45c | 117.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…b728backed Yes | 79c | 107.15$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 15c | 106.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…3b20backed No | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 15c | 91.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked No | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -65%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddc…b4f0backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 67c | 81.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…2fe5backed Yes | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes | 14c | 78.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed Yes | 34c | 77.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d41…6c30backed No | 20c | 75.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed No | 65c | 70.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Yes | 71c | 53.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 32c | 48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 67c | 44.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes | 39c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…b8dbbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff97…7350backed No | 62c | 38.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 35c | 37.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 74c | 33.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked No | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Yes | 34c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b48…1d04backed Yes | 78c | 30.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…f6b7backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eaf…1bfebacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed No | 74c | 29.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Yes | 37c | 28.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…819cbacked Yes | 42c | 26.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed No | 77c | 25.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…6816backed Yes | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 79c | 20.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2b…451dbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 75c | 17.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 76c | 13.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-27?this page
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.