South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa540a1f649de9e257b06ed7bbeee4d7a97af154c731f01bace53718b5fc6afc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,058 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,027$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.97 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 856.68$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.97 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 33c | 340.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.6 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 313.48$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.04 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 169.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x788a…bff2backed Yes | 70c | 142.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 60c | 134.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.12 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 131.74$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 75c | 108.64$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 23c | 100.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 69c | 84.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 15c | 78.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 60.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 50.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 69c | 48.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6a…5192backed Yes | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7074…f0fdbacked Yes | 74c | 40.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 35c | 35.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 37c | 28.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 69c | 25.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 75c | 16.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-03-12?No won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.