South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa614479e7d487b02f2b6c4803991f0d67bede69d6111c5012e8c9d3aecc51ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,271 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 31c | 9,939$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,858.28 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 33c | 9,366$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,288.7 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 5,602$4,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 57c | 4,008$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.12 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 67c | 3,489$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.62 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 2,947$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.33 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 28c | 2,733$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.78 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…d5a8backed Yes | 67c | 1,151$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 51c | 882$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.82 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 729.66$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.7 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 63c | 728.01$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.88 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 24c | 702.19$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.18 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 30c | 681.09$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.92 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 34c | 638.56$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.57 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…d688backed Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked No | 34c | 296.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.83 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 69c | 243.9$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.51 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…f954backed No | 19c | 232.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.35 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +308.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Yes | 50c | 181.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 51c | 155.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 45c | 142.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 30c | 133.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.14 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 50c | 129.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 58c | 121$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 67c | 119.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 103.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 50c | 100.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 22c | 92.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 51c | 92.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 52c | 90.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 69.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 31c | 66.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 50c | 59.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…ca52backed No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Yes | 67c | 55.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 61c | 55.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 45c | 53.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 68c | 52.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 39c | 50.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1082…2754backed Yes | 44c | 50.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6a…5192backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 42c | 37.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…10c8backed No | 42c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed No | 29c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…83c8backed No | 33c | 33.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 66c | 31.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 50c | 31.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Yes | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked No | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 50c | 24.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…b669backed Yes | 51c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked Yes | 70c | 15.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-03-12?No won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Central Córdoba end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.