Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa556c835e522f57003317bcc8b31a1c7a41ffda6c4f44c568b0efee437f3733f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 8,085$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.54 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,590$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Under | 49c | 2,643$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.6 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Under | 43c | 1,481$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.41 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 49c | 1,053$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.94 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 705.16$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.13 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 52c | 519.23$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.23 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Under | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 48c | 213$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 49c | 170.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…d4a0backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…1605backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Over | 52c | 96.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 51c | 53.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Under | 50c | 51.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 50.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Over | 52c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…c202backed Over | 54c | 31.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 150.5this page
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Marshall Thundering HerdMarshall Thundering Herd won
- South Alabama Jaguars vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-2.5)Marshall Thundering Herd won
- Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-3.5)Marshall Thundering Herd won
- Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-4.5)South Alabama Jaguars won
- Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-5.5)South Alabama Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.