Europa Conference League · resolved market
RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa56049ef14363f94709a03c625cf73950cbc8cb14d736170a67f5dffedade9a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd97d…6bf4backed Under | 49c | 8,110$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,104.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 3,659$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.28 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 33c | 2,979$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.88 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 2,321$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.94 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 28c | 2,145$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.47 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 51c | 1,470$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.7 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.94 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 50c | 873.2$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.6 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 51c | 164.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 51c | 154$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 73c | 144.21$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 73c | 127.68$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 69c | 96.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 92.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 76c | 87.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 82.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 80c | 69.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Over | 49c | 61.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 52c | 50.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Over | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked Over | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 71c | 33.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 73c | 31.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…3da0backed Over | 53c | 24.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 57c | 20.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 53c | 19.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 74c | 14.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 2.5this page
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Hammarby Fotboll: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 0.5Under won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 1.5Under won
- RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Hammarby Fotboll: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.