Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Hamad Medjedovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5eef851847c0892c803f1d460f93e32a0eb8da1811930002240073581342942
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medjedovicof Bellucci, Medjedovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Medjedovic | 67c | 10,000$6,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.97 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bellucci | 0c | 7,344$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Medjedovic | 63c | 4,130$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.84 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bellucci | 32c | 2,851$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.08 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bellucci | 37c | 2,653$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.23 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Bellucci | 46c | 2,160$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bellucci | 35c | 2,059$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.35 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bellucci | 33c | 1,570$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.3 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Bellucci | 39c | 1,400$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.51 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Medjedovic | 60c | 1,317$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.8 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bellucci | 32c | 682.23$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.18 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Bellucci | 40c | 610.54$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.04 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bellucci | 38c | 517.05$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.48 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bellucci | 37c | 466$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Medjedovic | 77c | 465.4$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.83 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bellucci | 19c | 455.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Bellucci | 33c | 450$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Bellucci | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Medjedovic | 58c | 355.76$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.42 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Medjedovic | 54c | 290.05$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.31 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Medjedovic | 61c | 280$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 291 | 52.6%153 W · 138 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…8b69backed Bellucci | 42c | 237.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Bellucci | 42c | 235.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Bellucci | 6c | 204.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Medjedovic | 59c | 194.91$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Bellucci | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Bellucci | 36c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Bellucci | 36c | 66.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Bellucci | 28c | 63.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bellucci | 39c | 58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Bellucci | 39c | 45.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Medjedovic | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bellucci | 43c | 33.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Bellucci | 37c | 31.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e9…316ebacked Medjedovic | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Medjedovic | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Medjedovic | 58c | 29.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…d18bbacked Bellucci | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Hamad Medjedovicthis page
- Bellucci vs. Medjedovic: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Bellucci vs MedjedovicMedjedovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.