Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
High Point vs. Winthrop
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa618ccd7bdf21c2397a302d7f792f32d7d360ca559713c15ead7420b56c06881
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- High Pointof High Point, Winthrop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked High Point | 62c | 1,103$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Winthrop | 38c | 650$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Winthrop | 37c | 391.62$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d4…10bfbacked High Point | 51c | 314$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d8…0342backed High Point | 51c | 195$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…c64cbacked Winthrop | 36c | 149$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…8edcbacked Winthrop | 49c | 107$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf663…2535backed High Point | 62c | 99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Winthrop | 38c | 79.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…2d8dbacked Winthrop | 49c | 67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd3…1d51backed Winthrop | 49c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea7…1232backed Winthrop | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…5a6dbacked High Point | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b1…8ba9backed Winthrop | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa059…d6fbbacked Winthrop | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…b08abacked Winthrop | 49c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…abe9backed Winthrop | 39c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa749…c9c3backed Winthrop | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…2494backed High Point | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…791ebacked Winthrop | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4376…13e7backed High Point | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa3…6641backed High Point | 65c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…c4dbbacked Winthrop | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2323…b066backed High Point | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…5960backed Winthrop | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…cbf8backed Winthrop | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c93…3e14backed Winthrop | 39c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ea…957ebacked Winthrop | 36c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb4…c840backed High Point | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…f7a5backed High Point | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572f…ed23backed High Point | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed High Point | 68c | 16.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…4c94backed High Point | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.