TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Spread: Virginia (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Virginiaof Virginia, California
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,695 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 6 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Virginia47c834.21$392 inWon+$442.132,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked California53c755$400 inLost-$400.1522437.5%84 W · 140 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Virginia50c407.84$204 inWon+$203.924240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked California50c407.84$204 inLost-$203.9252641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa492…a079backed California53c84.91$45 inLost-$452552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed California53c28.3$15 inLost-$152958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.