Other European Leagues · resolved market
PEC Zwolle vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6421c638885927b5c0d4d38c9b889f57f316245848cfd326b1921de20c55dbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 57c | 1,579$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Over | 57c | 1,028$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 45c | 661.2$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.22 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 629.84$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.44 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 41c | 400$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 57c | 171.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 57c | 61.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 57c | 61.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 66c | 57.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 45c | 54.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Over | 56c | 40.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…1686backed Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PEC Zwolle vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5this page
- PEC Zwolle vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PEC Zwolle vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 1.5Under won
- PEC Zwolle vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: PEC Zwolle (-1.5)Fortuna Sittard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.