Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Colorado Bears vs. Air Force Falcons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa65814795277a7c0ae2cc891d1f3e1e61ff6fb4b3c4c02e8eb34874c7065db4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Colorado Bearsof Northern Colorado Bears, Air Force Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Northern Colorado Bears | 66c | 1,347$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.01 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Air Force Falcons | 34c | 1,185$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.2 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Air Force Falcons | 26c | 445.88$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Air Force Falcons | 21c | 278.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Air Force Falcons | 20c | 274.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northern Colorado Bears | 76c | 180$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3406…3233backed Northern Colorado Bears | 67c | 174.26$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Air Force Falcons | 33c | 158$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Air Force Falcons | 36c | 130.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Air Force Falcons | 20c | 120.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Air Force Falcons | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Air Force Falcons | 34c | 88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Air Force Falcons | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Air Force Falcons | 37c | 79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 64c | 75.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Air Force Falcons | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Air Force Falcons | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9452…b685backed Air Force Falcons | 35c | 44.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Northern Colorado Bears | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe298…a953backed Northern Colorado Bears | 75c | 22.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ce…2972backed Northern Colorado Bears | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Colorado Bears vs. Air Force Falconsthis page
- Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-3.5)Northern Colorado Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.