Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jannik Sinner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa65df95eb50fa36c76940bf34b6e92566eeefc3bad2fc020fc647f9d31e45f14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Griekspoorof Griekspoor, Sinner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Sinner | 64c | 16,358$10,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,460.98 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Griekspoor | 4c | 15,705$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,076.92 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Griekspoor | 10c | 7,209$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.77 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Griekspoor | 40c | 5,811$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,485.01 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…04bfbacked Sinner | 0c | 4,257$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Sinner | 53c | 2,835$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.94 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Sinner | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Griekspoor | 44c | 2,485$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.42 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Griekspoor | 4c | 1,999$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.41 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed Griekspoor | 12c | 1,279$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.88 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Sinner | 3c | 1,221$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Griekspoor | 5c | 1,200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.2 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Griekspoor | 20c | 1,082$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.79 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Griekspoor | 20c | 1,008$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.11 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Griekspoor | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…211dbacked Griekspoor | 78c | 977$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e9…e33ebacked Griekspoor | 5c | 919.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.92 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +166%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Griekspoor | 19c | 835.97$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.09 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Griekspoor | 6c | 703.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Griekspoor | 4c | 700$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Griekspoor | 8c | 591.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.14 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Griekspoor | 6c | 500$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Sinner | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Griekspoor | 5c | 400$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Griekspoor | 3c | 383.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.33 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb030…9afdbacked Sinner | 31c | 357.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Griekspoor | 5c | 300$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…f11abacked Griekspoor | 67c | 296.27$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Griekspoor | 13c | 256.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.08 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…a920backed Griekspoor | 4c | 250$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Griekspoor | 7c | 159.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.81 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34e3…4d3dbacked Griekspoor | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +202.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Griekspoor | 70c | 98.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe57…721cbacked Griekspoor | 76c | 66.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…66b2backed Sinner | 49c | 52.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Sinner | 51c | 43.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb54f…70c3backed Griekspoor | 49c | 37.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…e548backed Griekspoor | 58c | 20.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.