TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,382 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e7…3335backed Over70c279.99$196 inWon+$848165.4%53 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under30c272.56$82 inLost-$81.7763857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under74c200.81$148 inLost-$1483865.8%25 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over26c141.01$37 inWon+$104.3596947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over27c59.8$16 inWon+$43.6550154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under31c53.37$17 inLost-$16.585350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under69c40.45$28 inLost-$28.072,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55a3…fd93backed Over30c40$12 inWon+$281442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under42c31.65$13 inLost-$13.2927554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over72c30$22 inWon+$8.43767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over73c27.35$20 inWon+$7.359164.8%59 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Over65c19.99$13 inWon+$72050%10 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.