Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Youngstown State Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa69657943fbb26c46e277eea3ddb932d98692dba434170633cd96b713536751b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Youngstown State Penguinsof Cleveland State Vikings, Youngstown State Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Cleveland State Vikings | 15c | 15,252$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.81 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Cleveland State Vikings | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Cleveland State Vikings | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland State Vikings | 18c | 1,137$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.95 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Cleveland State Vikings | 16c | 1,016$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.15 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Cleveland State Vikings | 17c | 819$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.27 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Cleveland State Vikings | 15c | 673.07$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 11c | 647.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Cleveland State Vikings | 19c | 527.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 13c | 521.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cleveland State Vikings | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd45a…f1fbbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 16c | 470$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Cleveland State Vikings | 18c | 465.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Cleveland State Vikings | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 19c | 385.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cleveland State Vikings | 6c | 357.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…7af7backed Cleveland State Vikings | 15c | 346.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Cleveland State Vikings | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 80c | 312$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cleveland State Vikings | 16c | 300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Cleveland State Vikings | 11c | 250.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cleveland State Vikings | 15c | 182.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 20c | 162.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ce…07adbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Cleveland State Vikings | 24c | 114$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Cleveland State Vikings | 14c | 111.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…eaa2backed Cleveland State Vikings | 17c | 88.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 21c | 72.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Cleveland State Vikings | 20c | 55.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Youngstown State Penguins | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Youngstown State Penguinsthis page
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Youngstown State Penguins: O/U 156.5Over won
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Youngstown State Penguins: O/U 157.5Over won
- Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-10.5)Youngstown State Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.