Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6a00105215b472146c5a192faeb2a6225bf8d0c494bb58ff669472d0f484b26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof Inner Circle, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Inner Circle | 50c | 2,972$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.24 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Inner Circle | 58c | 2,221$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.98 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Spirit Academy | 48c | 1,974$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.84 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle | 77c | 968.86$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.5 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed Inner Circle | 58c | 955.07$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.85 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 796.4$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Spirit Academy | 53c | 749.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Spirit Academy | 71c | 713.1$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.72 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Spirit Academy | 37c | 654.26$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.75 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Spirit Academy | 76c | 652.01$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit Academy | 23c | 600$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Inner Circle | 55c | 586.92$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked Spirit Academy | 33c | 567.16$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Spirit Academy | 45c | 475.43$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.53 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Spirit Academy | 55c | 428.28$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.93 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Inner Circle | 79c | 377.55$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Spirit Academy | 21c | 298.1$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.5 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Spirit Academy | 70c | 268.57$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Spirit Academy | 66c | 265.21$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Spirit Academy | 49c | 240.59$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.11 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Inner Circle | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…6333backed Inner Circle | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Spirit Academy | 35c | 171.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Inner Circle | 50c | 156.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…d039backed Spirit Academy | 72c | 146.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Inner Circle | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Inner Circle | 62c | 139$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.35 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Spirit Academy | 63c | 137.79$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bf…c63cbacked Inner Circle | 30c | 129.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Inner Circle | 28c | 116.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Spirit Academy | 21c | 101.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Inner Circle | 43c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…af16backed Inner Circle | 37c | 68.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Inner Circle | 70c | 55.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Spirit Academy | 37c | 53.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b8…4b89backed Spirit Academy | 19c | 51.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Inner Circle | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Spirit Academy | 21c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 49.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed Inner Circle | 53c | 43.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Inner Circle | 54c | 39.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…6f61backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Spirit Academy | 56c | 35.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…6558backed Inner Circle | 63c | 33.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 31.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 30.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Inner Circle | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Spirit Academy | 49c | 29.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…411fbacked Inner Circle | 71c | 28.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Inner Circle | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Inner Circle | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…c9d0backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 15.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 WinnerInner Circle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.