CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs HyperSpirit (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6f43295ae026cbd487197455a54d754e3c9c6d2bd5257f3fd7a0bc36cb117fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ECSTATICof ECSTATIC, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,878 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ECSTATIC | 73c | 3,508$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.11 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HyperSpirit | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked HyperSpirit | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed ECSTATIC | 72c | 1,311$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.63 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked HyperSpirit | 29c | 1,149$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.01 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HyperSpirit | 29c | 866$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.14 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed HyperSpirit | 28c | 653.43$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.96 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed ECSTATIC | 72c | 600$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HyperSpirit | 28c | 574.86$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.58 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked HyperSpirit | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed ECSTATIC | 71c | 478.18$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed ECSTATIC | 72c | 311.32$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.08 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked HyperSpirit | 24c | 308.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed HyperSpirit | 28c | 287.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked ECSTATIC | 71c | 270$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ECSTATIC | 74c | 258.94$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed ECSTATIC | 73c | 230$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HyperSpirit | 8c | 217.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed HyperSpirit | 7c | 214.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed HyperSpirit | 17c | 199.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked ECSTATIC | 76c | 188$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed HyperSpirit | 28c | 145.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed ECSTATIC | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8e…ca2ebacked ECSTATIC | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed HyperSpirit | 27c | 128.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…62d6backed HyperSpirit | 46c | 111.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked HyperSpirit | 23c | 99.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed HyperSpirit | 28c | 91.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed ECSTATIC | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 296 | 47.6%141 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed ECSTATIC | 76c | 82.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed HyperSpirit | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,037 | 39.8%413 W · 624 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed HyperSpirit | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd6…ff34backed ECSTATIC | 76c | 77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked ECSTATIC | 70c | 70.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HyperSpirit | 30c | 60.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked ECSTATIC | 63c | 58.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…0d42backed HyperSpirit | 28c | 55.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked ECSTATIC | 74c | 52.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ECSTATIC | 75c | 51.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed HyperSpirit | 27c | 49.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked ECSTATIC | 79c | 48.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked ECSTATIC | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed ECSTATIC | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 496 | 66.7%331 W · 165 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ECSTATIC | 77c | 40.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed ECSTATIC | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked HyperSpirit | 27c | 38.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f2…3de3backed HyperSpirit | 30c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…51b7backed HyperSpirit | 35c | 34.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e52cbacked ECSTATIC | 68c | 29.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked ECSTATIC | 71c | 28.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed ECSTATIC | 73c | 24.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…d68fbacked ECSTATIC | 72c | 20.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ECSTATIC | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked ECSTATIC | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.