Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will ETO FC vs. Rīga FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa70ef505df8e0c571921d815b343393b720537d48964c49e285bd6c49a304df7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 31c | 1,100$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.99 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 67c | 658.16$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.7 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 65c | 541.15$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.03 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 505.24$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.28 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed No | 73c | 286.65$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 41c | 235$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.54 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 20c | 230.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 223.19$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.95 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Yes | 26c | 184.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 74c | 102.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 16c | 84.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 71c | 75.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 16c | 75.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 27c | 53.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 32c | 50.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 30c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Yes | 27c | 40.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 68c | 27.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 64c | 24.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Yes | 56c | 21.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 72c | 14.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ETO FC vs. Rīga FC end in a draw?this page
- Will ETO FC win on 2026-08-13?No won
- Will Rīga FC win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.