Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will ETO FC win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c590c1e99b064dec21df123c1aaf88c2fabceea3d0ce12eddaaf33710c71382
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 62c | 15,790$9,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,055.01 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 39c | 1,469$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.91 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 38c | 1,320$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 41c | 1,039$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.56 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 35c | 1,007$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.14 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Yes | 38c | 972.38$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.91 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 949.39$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.72 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 904.44$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.23 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 38c | 761$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.02 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 37c | 712$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.62 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 47c | 677.5$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.12 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 38c | 654$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 38c | 654$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 38c | 617$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.12 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 80c | 599.95$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.96 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 68c | 565.87$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.62 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 38c | 392$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.53 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 39c | 318.62$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.26 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked No | 22c | 269.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.35 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 38c | 228.07$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.08 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Yes | 37c | 213.66$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Yes | 39c | 212$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 29c | 201.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.64 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 37c | 201.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 36c | 199.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 38c | 196.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 41c | 190$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 39c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 35c | 145.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Yes | 62c | 144$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 57c | 125.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 38c | 114$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 66c | 95.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 34c | 95.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090e…1cbcbacked Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 39c | 76.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 17c | 72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 38c | 67.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 37c | 64.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Yes | 43c | 58.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 43c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes | 73c | 52.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 43c | 46.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes | 43c | 46.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 26c | 42.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa593…924dbacked Yes | 39c | 35.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 60c | 35.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…e94abacked Yes | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 58c | 27.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Yes | 57c | 24.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 62c | 22.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ETO FC win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will ETO FC vs. Rīga FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Rīga FC win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.