La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa732d4c88b35756e6c6a6759ceb69995032f1ece984f0bcab0435323930894ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 55c | 2,504$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…1a59backed Over | 45c | 1,431$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 45c | 844.17$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.41 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 54c | 542.66$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.21 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked Over | 46c | 378.26$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.26 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 46c | 219.54$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.55 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 45c | 201.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.28 | 335 | 31.3%105 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…4ba3backed Under | 55c | 190.31$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.67 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…bfe6backed Under | 53c | 140.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…be99backed Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 47c | 105$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 54c | 88.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 1,104 | 48.5%535 W · 569 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 56c | 80.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…3301backed Under | 53c | 79.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 52c | 63.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 521 | 52%271 W · 250 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 58.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 1,293 | 51.5%666 W · 627 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e2…0b7ebacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…79aebacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…4414backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…478bbacked Under | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Over | 47c | 25.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…4eb1backed Under | 53c | 25.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 13.5 Total CornersOver won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.