La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb9535401ef52c9d5c313415b05999445cb5d32bd6367b3e257c68436799f5e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41de…deedbacked Under | 52c | 3,130$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Under | 52c | 1,477$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…5e31backed Over | 49c | 1,385$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Over | 45c | 1,195$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.01 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 1,124$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.92 | 1,293 | 51.5%666 W · 627 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8606…db26backed Under | 53c | 725$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…68dfbacked Over | 48c | 618.96$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…8b8cbacked Over | 50c | 459.7$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…6fa9backed Under | 52c | 384.37$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a8…f10fbacked Over | 48c | 359.52$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…01febacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Under | 51c | 194.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 189.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 48c | 153$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 148$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed Under | 54c | 111$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Over | 46c | 97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Over | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +52%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Over | 48c | 71.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 49c | 65.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Over | 50c | 29.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9be4…0156backed Over | 49c | 22.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Under | 51c | 19.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 13.5 Total CornersOver won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.