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La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 2.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,138 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x41de…deedbacked Under34c450.66$153 inLost-$153.491442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked Over64c364.06$233 inWon+$131.061485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+45.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1927…c627backed Over64c174$111 inWon+$62.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x220e…eeb2backed Under63c106.03$67 inLost-$66.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under37c95.26$35 inLost-$35.1615451.9%80 W · 74 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfae…155ebacked Over63c70$44 inWon+$25.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+52%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Over64c54.08$35 inWon+$19.47683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+77.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over70c31.29$22 inWon+$9.3956538.1%215 W · 350 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff88…601dbacked Over63c23.81$15 inWon+$8.811353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.