Asian League · resolved market
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa75b2f574d0dc4c1e0143a05814b99c12a194b70006731fc1a691818b318994e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 28c | 3,416$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.42 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 3,192$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.88 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…7cefbacked Yes | 7c | 2,085$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 30c | 685$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 668.1$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.43 | 1,818 | 50.4%917 W · 901 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 74c | 572$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.56 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 29c | 499.96$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 24c | 300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Yes | 6c | 232.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked No | 78c | 226$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…91e5backed Yes | 8c | 218.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 147$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 1,796 | 50.2%902 W · 894 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 30c | 111.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 71c | 82.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 24c | 52.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…323abacked Yes | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 72c | 39.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed No | 78c | 32.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 78c | 23.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 72c | 23.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 71c | 20.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 18.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2,036 | 54.2%1,104 W · 932 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 72c | 16.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.