Asian League · resolved market
Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35f4b1a1e07e454d0ca7e4bde33bced91dee96a9e44d819bc31a969d3c59f187
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 1,647$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.5 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 1,068$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.03 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Yes | 23c | 829.81$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 765.5$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.21 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 30c | 627.17$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 528.03$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.71 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 31c | 479.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 66c | 366.41$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…ab88backed Yes | 26c | 341.57$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 23c | 291.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 267.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 21c | 262.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked No | 65c | 260.41$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 172.59$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 9c | 128.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 19c | 125.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 24c | 121.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 119.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 20c | 115.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes | 31c | 95.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.7wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 31c | 92.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 79.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 79c | 53.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 70c | 49.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 70c | 49.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 31c | 46.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 32c | 44.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 70c | 17.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed No | 69c | 14.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.