Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7a63e30c1bdd387f0e074b5e5de4e31711cd58a0f9736c717e35b16ab27bb5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Blackof 2GAME Esports, Shopify Rebellion Black
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 710.11$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.71 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 521.21$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.13 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed 2GAME Esports | 30c | 429.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked 2GAME Esports | 31c | 419.02$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 2GAME Esports | 32c | 335.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.52 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked 2GAME Esports | 32c | 239$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 217.8$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 205$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed 2GAME Esports | 33c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed 2GAME Esports | 31c | 190$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 138.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 134.29$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 73c | 102.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked 2GAME Esports | 32c | 99.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked 2GAME Esports | 36c | 94.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 61c | 73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…2958backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 65.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…07dabacked 2GAME Esports | 36c | 55.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed 2GAME Esports | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed 2GAME Esports | 29c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed 2GAME Esports | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: SRB (-1.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+1.5)2GAME Esports won
- Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Group StageShopify Rebellion Black won
- Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 1 Winner2GAME Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.