Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a7038fdca499735342dd46b92be5fa80dd99efd188c15c452830b1bcd6de0d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 2GAME Esportsof 2GAME Esports, Shopify Rebellion Black
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 2GAME Esports | 31c | 1,486$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.59 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b58…3474backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 2GAME Esports | 43c | 685.87$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.11 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked 2GAME Esports | 32c | 557.67$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.22 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked 2GAME Esports | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 2GAME Esports | 31c | 244.79$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.26 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 53c | 198$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked 2GAME Esports | 44c | 172.65$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.68 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…b83cbacked 2GAME Esports | 51c | 169.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 157.54$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.37 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 144.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 58c | 132.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 32c | 120.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 53c | 113.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 28c | 112$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 80c | 104$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 57c | 103.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 64c | 93.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 49c | 92.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked 2GAME Esports | 21c | 84.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 52c | 84.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…07dabacked 2GAME Esports | 19c | 66.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 57c | 52.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…b387backed 2GAME Esports | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…b109backed 2GAME Esports | 30c | 47.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +22.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 35c | 45.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked 2GAME Esports | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 59c | 38.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 2GAME Esports | 37c | 30.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 28.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed 2GAME Esports | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 42c | 24.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 23.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 57c | 21.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: SRB (-1.5) vs 2GAME Esports (+1.5)2GAME Esports won
- Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL Americas: Last Chance Qualifier Group StageShopify Rebellion Black won
- Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.