Lol · resolved market
LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7a95d99d0e17e78d484d702a0db61f6abe33125fcb6e039299873da584cc168
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PCIFIC of PCIFIC , Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 2,587$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.34 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked PCIFIC | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 921.45$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.51 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed PCIFIC | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked PCIFIC | 52c | 537.08$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.8 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 15c | 428.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Bushido Wildcats | 21c | 399.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 788 | 9.8%77 W · 711 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 300$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.86 | 648 | 49.8%323 W · 325 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PCIFIC | 73c | 295.22$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 1,912 | 37.1%709 W · 1,203 L | -115.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed PCIFIC | 51c | 294$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed PCIFIC | 47c | 275.19$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.85 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked PCIFIC | 52c | 268.54$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.9 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed PCIFIC | 52c | 268.54$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.9 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PCIFIC | 74c | 267.76$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed PCIFIC | 79c | 202.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 397 | 55.4%220 W · 177 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Bushido Wildcats | 14c | 192.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…aebbbacked Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked PCIFIC | 49c | 150.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 340 | 40.6%138 W · 202 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked PCIFIC | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…935fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 282 | 61%172 W · 110 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c35…7764backed PCIFIC | 52c | 140.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked PCIFIC | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25fe…ba20backed PCIFIC | 49c | 122.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 109.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed PCIFIC | 53c | 108$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed PCIFIC | 52c | 107.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PCIFIC | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Bushido Wildcats | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 89.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed PCIFIC | 53c | 85.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked PCIFIC | 59c | 84.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed PCIFIC | 50c | 79.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +16.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed PCIFIC | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 214 | 51.4%110 W · 104 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed PCIFIC | 79c | 74.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed PCIFIC | 49c | 74.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Bushido Wildcats | 52c | 69.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 27.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed PCIFIC | 48c | 21.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PCIFIC | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1,213 | 43.4%527 W · 686 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…1192backed PCIFIC | 76c | 13.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: PCIFIC (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)Bushido Wildcats won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonPCIFIC won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.