College Football · resolved market
Navy vs. Tulsa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7b921829bfbb7f4bdd7be76428003f84c57387fae71be968b798a7a53396c57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navyof Navy, Tulsa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Tulsa | 19c | 5,344$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.29 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Navy | 58c | 2,221$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.99 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Tulsa | 46c | 1,648$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tulsa | 37c | 1,197$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.65 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Navy | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Tulsa | 17c | 599.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tulsa | 17c | 535.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Navy | 64c | 463.82$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.68 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Tulsa | 16c | 461.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tulsa | 30c | 331.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Tulsa | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Tulsa | 17c | 295$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Navy | 59c | 210$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tulsa | 47c | 202.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Navy | 69c | 147.75$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Navy | 56c | 141$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c45…19cbbacked Tulsa | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Tulsa | 41c | 119.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Navy | 67c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Tulsa | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…b14cbacked Tulsa | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tulsa | 40c | 82.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Tulsa | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Navy | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Tulsa | 41c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.