Tennis · resolved market
Bunschoten: Henri Squire vs Jan Kumstat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7d9d363403df4b0a5e68012f97955d7ad64faafb5900709e94f916042d6460c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jan Kumstatof Henri Squire, Jan Kumstat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Henri Squire | 6c | 5,011$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.81 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Jan Kumstat | 72c | 2,710$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.68 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Henri Squire | 2c | 2,186$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Henri Squire | 27c | 1,374$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.01 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Henri Squire | 6c | 1,325$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Henri Squire | 8c | 948.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Jan Kumstat | 59c | 839.1$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.38 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jan Kumstat | 55c | 659.51$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.21 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Henri Squire | 66c | 578.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Henri Squire | 23c | 515$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | -16.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Jan Kumstat | 34c | 499.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.49 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Henri Squire | 6c | 467.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Henri Squire | 48c | 417$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Henri Squire | 6c | 416.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 173 | 23.7%41 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Henri Squire | 27c | 292.17$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…2218backed Henri Squire | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Henri Squire | 43c | 233.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Henri Squire | 63c | 229.79$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.91 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Henri Squire | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Henri Squire | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jan Kumstat | 38c | 189.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Henri Squire | 30c | 183.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jan Kumstat | 39c | 169.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Henri Squire | 37c | 169.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Jan Kumstat | 72c | 139.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Henri Squire | 63c | 131.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Jan Kumstat | 36c | 121.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Henri Squire | 45c | 113.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jan Kumstat | 36c | 108.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Jan Kumstat | 37c | 105.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jan Kumstat | 67c | 102.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Jan Kumstat | 61c | 91.03$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Jan Kumstat | 34c | 85.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Henri Squire | 63c | 80.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Henri Squire | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Henri Squire | 66c | 72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Henri Squire | 36c | 70.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Henri Squire | 36c | 69.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Henri Squire | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Jan Kumstat | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Jan Kumstat | 54c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Henri Squire | 34c | 58.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jan Kumstat | 52c | 58.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Jan Kumstat | 34c | 49.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Henri Squire | 30c | 42.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Henri Squire | 30c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Henri Squire | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 449 | 46.1%207 W · 242 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a338backed Henri Squire | 64c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Henri Squire | 65c | 36.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Henri Squire | 64c | 31.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Henri Squire | 65c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Jan Kumstat | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…44c4backed Jan Kumstat | 35c | 29.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Henri Squire | 64c | 28.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Jan Kumstat | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Henri Squire | 45c | 26.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a0…1257backed Henri Squire | 66c | 25.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Henri Squire | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Henri Squire | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Henri Squire | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Henri Squire | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Henri Squire | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Henri Squire | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Henri Squire | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Henri Squire | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Henri Squire | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…4fd8backed Henri Squire | 63c | 17.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Henri Squire | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bunschoten: Henri Squire vs Jan Kumstatthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Squire vs KumstatKumstat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.