Asian League · resolved market
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-05-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa80cd7cea8e72ee13a95418eabf7e7dc15764334801b08c5f1503d988061c5ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes | 17c | 5,742$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 22c | 1,141$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 21c | 999.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 19c | 901.7$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.32 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 22c | 705.33$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.46 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 77c | 572.13$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.59 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Yes | 19c | 520$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 10c | 500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 17c | 320.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Yes | 19c | 297.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…d171backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 19c | 288.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…2a0dbacked Yes | 18c | 264.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 16c | 203.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 18c | 173.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Yes | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 21c | 141$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Yes | 13c | 115$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 80c | 107.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 16c | 94.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 21c | 86.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 23c | 86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1e…53b8backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked Yes | 18c | 77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked No | 79c | 48.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 79c | 25.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 78c | 24.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-05-05?this page
- Will Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.