Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Elena Pridankina vs Lilli Tagger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8776ce0bcf5b11c225b28214374ba4ba9100db3167aa1633813b975dc686a54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taggerof Pridankina, Tagger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Pridankina | 50c | 2,424$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.1 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Pridankina | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pridankina | 40c | 1,601$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.18 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pridankina | 1c | 1,451$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Tagger | 35c | 1,136$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.67 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tagger | 45c | 1,099$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.98 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Tagger | 45c | 1,067$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.44 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Tagger | 45c | 1,000$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.15 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Tagger | 62c | 812.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.71 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tagger | 53c | 785.01$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.69 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tagger | 46c | 682$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.47 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Pridankina | 45c | 634.73$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.63 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Tagger | 38c | 396.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.12 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Tagger | 48c | 366.87$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.93 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Tagger | 64c | 299.77$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.97 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pridankina | 48c | 287.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.57 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Pridankina | 53c | 262.68$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Tagger | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Pridankina | 47c | 177.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…9238backed Tagger | 67c | 140.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Pridankina | 54c | 110.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Tagger | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 136 | 8.1%11 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Tagger | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Tagger | 54c | 85.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc837…2e91backed Pridankina | 64c | 78.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Tagger | 55c | 76.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pridankina | 63c | 75.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Tagger | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Pridankina | 70c | 44.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…adcebacked Pridankina | 57c | 35.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…ac2fbacked Pridankina | 69c | 32.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Pridankina | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -8.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Tagger | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 139 | 64.7%90 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.