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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Myth Esports - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Once Upon A Teamof Once Upon A Team, Myth Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce08…510bbacked Once Upon A Team41c1,150$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6771,22354.4%665 W · 558 L+51.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Myth Esports59c1,113$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.51,98748.4%961 W · 1,026 L+26.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Once Upon A Team50c752.88$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.7766344.2%293 W · 370 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Myth Esports48c656.06$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.963,03244.4%1,347 W · 1,685 L-100.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Once Upon A Team56c644.89$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.844451.4%228 W · 216 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Myth Esports43c194.89$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.81,46038.4%560 W · 900 L-44.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Myth Esports50c184.25$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.571,92537.1%715 W · 1,210 L-115.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Myth Esports56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.818746%86 W · 101 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed Once Upon A Team63c174.87$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4471557.2%409 W · 306 L+37.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Myth Esports36c133.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.211,50148.4%727 W · 774 L+47.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Once Upon A Team43c133$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8157749.4%285 W · 292 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Myth Esports46c111$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.676243.5%27 W · 35 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x914d…41cabacked Once Upon A Team55c94.91$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.165837.9%22 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+60.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5819…2b4fbacked Once Upon A Team55c93.03$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6353149.5%263 W · 268 L+30.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Myth Esports58c86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.881,05650.4%532 W · 524 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Once Upon A Team36c80$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.237342.6%159 W · 214 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Myth Esports66c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51,00745.4%457 W · 550 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Myth Esports56c64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.842,91538.5%1,122 W · 1,793 L-120.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a29…8cc4backed Once Upon A Team56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5743450.5%219 W · 215 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Myth Esports66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,10746.3%513 W · 594 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Myth Esports49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.77537.3%28 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked Once Upon A Team43c48.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.791,10339.3%434 W · 669 L-81.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Myth Esports44c41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.043,18233.9%1,079 W · 2,103 L-151.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Myth Esports46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.216141.6%67 W · 94 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Myth Esports46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.26339.7%25 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Myth Esports46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.235341.9%148 W · 205 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Myth Esports33c39.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.161,41031.3%441 W · 969 L-136.8wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Once Upon A Team55c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.371,26439.8%503 W · 761 L-70.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed Myth Esports46c22.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3810146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4ad…6da0backed Once Upon A Team48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921942.1%8 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Myth Esports52c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.929643.8%42 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Myth Esports61c19.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9714655.5%81 W · 65 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.