Tennis · resolved market
St. Brieuc: Norbert Gombos vs Lucas Poullain
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa891bfc6959552aff9c96f5d9763f70aeed2b4d6dbc428c4b2a0a54473c259b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Poullainof Gombos, Poullain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Poullain | 76c | 4,413$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.49 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Gombos | 31c | 2,624$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.39 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Gombos | 24c | 2,622$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.79 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Poullain | 72c | 1,493$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Poullain | 69c | 1,489$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.74 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Gombos | 22c | 995.67$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Gombos | 28c | 980.63$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.58 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Gombos | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed Gombos | 22c | 804.63$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.62 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Gombos | 32c | 775.54$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.94 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Gombos | 29c | 687$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Poullain | 77c | 636.19$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.47 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Poullain | 71c | 536.18$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.17 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Gombos | 25c | 333.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Poullain | 66c | 279.78$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Gombos | 28c | 271.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Poullain | 64c | 258.65$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Gombos | 24c | 224.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Gombos | 55c | 182.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Poullain | 70c | 170.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Gombos | 12c | 167.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf174…d052backed Gombos | 30c | 166.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Poullain | 49c | 154.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Poullain | 76c | 140.72$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Gombos | 17c | 113.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Gombos | 31c | 101.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Gombos | 51c | 97.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…04acbacked Gombos | 26c | 57.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Gombos | 20c | 55.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Poullain | 70c | 47.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Poullain | 68c | 39.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Gombos | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Poullain | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Gombos | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Poullain | 67c | 17.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Poullain | 77c | 16.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Poullain | 80c | 13.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.