Tennis · resolved market
ITF Lakewood: Allison Wang vs Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8a36c2d41bd0ff078b804e4f7c91d6eea018523499e87ff1204b8f46cf3d5a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anne-Christine Lutkemeyerof Allison Wang, Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88de…23f8backed Allison Wang | 31c | 653$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Allison Wang | 38c | 523$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.14 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 69c | 475.49$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 63c | 399.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Allison Wang | 44c | 206.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 69c | 177.51$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 59c | 169.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 69c | 122.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…b743backed Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 56c | 78.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 67c | 76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 60c | 42.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…1e46backed Allison Wang | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 67c | 34.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 58c | 30.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 62c | 26.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.