Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa99877e5c4571b68a3565032049ef774cccc744c6c987e4418bb478b362fdfa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 50c | 24,923$12,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,479.04 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 51c | 8,929$4,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,509.92 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 48c | 6,171$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.02 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 4,028$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 53c | 3,009$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.46 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 2,990$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.19 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 48c | 2,979$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.09 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 49c | 2,023$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.25 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 51c | 498.58$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 53c | 492.91$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.67 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 433.93$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.28 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 49c | 416.33$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Over | 51c | 322.36$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 303$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.05 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 51c | 258.72$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.77 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under | 51c | 155.41$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 52c | 114.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 104.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Under | 49c | 102.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 86.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Under | 49c | 78.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 78c | 73.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 49c | 59.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Over | 49c | 59.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 49c | 59.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 48c | 53.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ca…ae4abacked Over | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x669b…6557backed Over | 49c | 28.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 49c | 23.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 49c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 66c | 17.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 140.5this page
- Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Iona GaelsIona Gaels won
- Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 141.5Under won
- Spread: Iona Gaels (-1.5)Iona Gaels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.