Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Princeton Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa999a8a3efa2c3b38594877da48d1245085ba3471df2b4858df99884606dcfd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Princeton Tigersof Dartmouth Big Green, Princeton Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x223f…2050backed Dartmouth Big Green | 32c | 718.35$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Princeton Tigers | 79c | 528$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 22c | 473.46$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Dartmouth Big Green | 36c | 397.26$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.19 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dartmouth Big Green | 26c | 381.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.82 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Princeton Tigers | 64c | 290.33$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…6875backed Princeton Tigers | 75c | 203.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Princeton Tigers | 55c | 137.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Princeton Tigers | 76c | 129.15$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 45c | 99.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dartmouth Big Green | 20c | 98.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Dartmouth Big Green | 45c | 89.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dartmouth Big Green | 14c | 78.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 42c | 55.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Princeton Tigers | 55c | 55.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Princeton Tigers | 58c | 50.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Princeton Tigers | 55c | 36.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Dartmouth Big Green | 44c | 27.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Dartmouth Big Green | 45c | 23.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Princeton Tigers | 56c | 23.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Princeton Tigers | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 46c | 21.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.