WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 174.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9cee339c7976a94bf4e821d54e2dc65d5683a1057c63833a124a20289a523fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Under | 51c | 25,402$12,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,873.66 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 13,464$6,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,834.62 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 49c | 10,017$4,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,108.77 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 51c | 8,286$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225.88 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 51c | 6,810$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.04 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 5,864$2,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.91 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 1,983$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.23 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…9a33backed Over | 50c | 1,785$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 1,446$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Over | 50c | 1,004$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 48c | 965$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.8 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 886.38$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.05 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Over | 50c | 606$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb654…7be3backed Over | 50c | 595$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f48…a145backed Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 28c | 504$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.11 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 500.12$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.49 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 31c | 499.32$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.55 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Over | 46c | 363.53$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Under | 51c | 264.1$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 22c | 262.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Over | 49c | 260$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 50c | 159.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 20c | 143.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 21c | 111.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Under | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 19c | 80.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 50c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Over | 58c | 60.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 47c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 50c | 52.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 45.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 50c | 45.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Under | 52c | 26.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 49c | 26.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 50c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 22.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…21f5backed Under | 51c | 21.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 174.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 172.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 173.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.