South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9da3f52664c86199c3b435a7d90014cd248d6e8b03129167bdab4636938b6f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 30c | 4,790$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 3,735$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.83 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 17c | 2,971$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.32 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 32c | 1,520$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,355$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.31 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 70c | 1,254$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.15 | 1,323 | 42.8%566 W · 757 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 12c | 789.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 26c | 748.23$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.54 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 708.68$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 5,821 | 45.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L | +97.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 625.76$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.16 | 3,446 | 51.4%1,771 W · 1,675 L | +21.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 71c | 343.91$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 21c | 317.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 1,393 | 52.6%733 W · 660 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 14c | 276.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 75c | 249.1$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 203.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 1,305 | 53.6%700 W · 605 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 196.27$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 95.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 1,702 | 52%885 W · 817 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29b…da59backed Yes | 27c | 81.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 28c | 75.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed No | 80c | 74.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 25c | 74.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Yes | 16c | 71.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed No | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…9fbabacked Yes | 24c | 62.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe644…76b6backed No | 78c | 62.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 76c | 61.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 60.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 2,648 | 54.2%1,436 W · 1,212 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 26c | 55.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 20c | 52.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1,465 | 56.8%832 W · 633 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 46.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 27c | 41.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 76c | 33.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,362 | 49.8%678 W · 684 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 74c | 25.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 72c | 14.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?this page
- Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-04-02?No won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.