Asian League · resolved market
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa035cf1e2a1e2b9cb080f2f658acb61e1e372b4d218dfd635cbe551490f767e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 706$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.12 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 72c | 417$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.91 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 60c | 406.37$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.98 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 37c | 399.26$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 38c | 381.86$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.77 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 61c | 247.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.31 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 21c | 224.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…78ffbacked Under | 76c | 196.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Over | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 61c | 149.13$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 38.8%106 W · 167 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 60c | 89.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 60c | 83.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 83.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 67c | 76.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 16c | 67.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 41c | 61.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 40c | 59.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed Over | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 35c | 50.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 77c | 43.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 59c | 33.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 59c | 33.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 62c | 26.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 421 | 51.3%216 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Riyadh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.