Asian League · resolved market
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4b3a08ba2c8ed0cdee86727f695afc616a5b1ad445d693bae05d974190c781d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 23c | 1,912$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.27 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 61c | 873.76$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.49 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 55c | 471.28$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.18 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 448.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 42c | 403.01$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 55c | 272.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.84 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 17c | 259.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 257.59$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 49c | 213$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 62c | 206.26$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 62c | 195.82$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 18c | 193.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 64c | 177.38$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…3c2dbacked Over | 58c | 173.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 8c | 172.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 28c | 165$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 136.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 16c | 122.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 51c | 120.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 65c | 97.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 41c | 91.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 77c | 74.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Under | 18c | 69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over | 67c | 65.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 21c | 59.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Under | 23c | 54.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 37c | 50.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked Over | 59c | 41.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 34c | 41.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed Under | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Over | 50c | 39.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 50c | 37.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 43c | 30.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 79c | 24.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…f2a1backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…6ed4backed Over | 65c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Over | 74c | 14.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Riyadh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.