Tennis · resolved market
ITF Landisville: Lizette Cabrera vs Fiona Crawley
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa24628c5e9a91895213a74ac21ebe1ab30a2578fefee4e65a2e47b0cc8b1b7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fiona Crawleyof Lizette Cabrera, Fiona Crawley
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fiona Crawley | 70c | 11,715$8,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.04 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lizette Cabrera | 31c | 11,168$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.82 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Lizette Cabrera | 20c | 3,055$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fiona Crawley | 71c | 1,020$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.52 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Fiona Crawley | 50c | 525$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Fiona Crawley | 50c | 525$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Fiona Crawley | 50c | 525$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lizette Cabrera | 39c | 450$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Lizette Cabrera | 33c | 268.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 393 | 40.7%160 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Fiona Crawley | 46c | 170.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Fiona Crawley | 47c | 152.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Lizette Cabrera | 31c | 147.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Lizette Cabrera | 15c | 122$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Fiona Crawley | 46c | 121.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lizette Cabrera | 52c | 114.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Fiona Crawley | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Fiona Crawley | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,657 | 44.2%733 W · 924 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Lizette Cabrera | 36c | 92.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Lizette Cabrera | 33c | 67.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Fiona Crawley | 72c | 63.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Lizette Cabrera | 32c | 60.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 1,212 | 52%630 W · 582 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Lizette Cabrera | 33c | 57.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lizette Cabrera | 28c | 55.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Fiona Crawley | 61c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 419 | 58.7%246 W · 173 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Fiona Crawley | 69c | 40.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lizette Cabrera | 59c | 34.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Fiona Crawley | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Fiona Crawley | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 554 | 37.5%208 W · 346 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lizette Cabrera | 60c | 29.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Fiona Crawley | 62c | 28.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Lizette Cabrera | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Fiona Crawley | 66c | 28.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…1ce2backed Fiona Crawley | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Fiona Crawley | 63c | 20.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1,418 | 55%780 W · 638 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…47f5backed Fiona Crawley | 74c | 20.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Lizette Cabrera | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 599 | 41.1%246 W · 353 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.