Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: BYU Cougars (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa7623576f765a465ecc00205f68bded6a9a3d0b31680ef337b102c278a900b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYU Cougarsof BYU Cougars, West Virginia Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,117 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 660.42$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.58 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 48c | 468.9$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.88 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked BYU Cougars | 50c | 454.58$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.55 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 51c | 257.73$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed BYU Cougars | 49c | 183.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 51c | 139.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 116.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed BYU Cougars | 50c | 111.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…e1b2backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 77.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 68.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 49c | 50.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 40.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed BYU Cougars | 50c | 39.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed BYU Cougars | 50c | 35.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 47c | 31.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 49c | 29.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…7916backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 23.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-3.5)this page
- BYU Cougars vs. West Virginia MountaineersBYU Cougars won
- BYU Cougars vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 140.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.