CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaac71c178488676c20be8a42d68fc0f91512bd1e2aea771ac5c3644fd3e2d9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Black Phoenixof ex-RUBY, Black Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Black Phoenix | 29c | 1,311$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.43 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked ex-RUBY | 73c | 1,267$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.79 | 630 | 57.1%360 W · 270 L | +40.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 1,171$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.71 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Black Phoenix | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Black Phoenix | 40c | 731.61$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.56 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 564.5$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.12 | 518 | 42.3%219 W · 299 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Black Phoenix | 55c | 555.95$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.12 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Black Phoenix | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 270 | 41.1%111 W · 159 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…acabbacked ex-RUBY | 69c | 252.45$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Black Phoenix | 31c | 250.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.18 | 331 | 48.3%160 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Black Phoenix | 25c | 242.42$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.37 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Black Phoenix | 37c | 236$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.7 | 185 | 35.1%65 W · 120 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 37.8%163 W · 268 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…8573backed ex-RUBY | 46c | 190.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23a…b8d3backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 176.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…2a7fbacked Black Phoenix | 35c | 124.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Black Phoenix | 58c | 119$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Black Phoenix | 60c | 109.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed Black Phoenix | 35c | 103.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8238backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed Black Phoenix | 69c | 97.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 49 | 87.8%43 W · 6 L | +10.0wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Black Phoenix | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed ex-RUBY | 66c | 74.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…ae14backed Black Phoenix | 35c | 68.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Black Phoenix | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-RUBY | 66c | 29.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-RUBY | 67c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked ex-RUBY | 69c | 25.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 328 | 61.9%203 W · 125 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ex-RUBY | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 690 | 41.9%289 W · 401 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed ex-RUBY | 69c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked ex-RUBY | 80c | 14.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 485 | 48.7%236 W · 249 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageBlack Phoenix won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.